Ever
since we started providing free picks from "Judge"
Fletcher McCoy,
we have received a steady stream of e-mails asking us for more
information about the man and his methods. As you know,
the Judge does not use or own a computer or e-mail, so most of
our
conversations take place in person. We usually meet for breakfast
in Nicholasville, KY after the Judge has made his morning rounds
at Keeneland or Churchill. Coffee, biscuits and gravy, and
horse racing insight from the Judge is a pretty good way to start
the day. When he gives us a pick we try to write down what
he says word for word, and when he feels something is important
he will usually say "Make sure you get that down like I said it." We'll
post as much of his horse racing knowledge as we can on this page
and add to it as often as he sees fit to provide it. The
question we get asked more than any other is the first one we
will post in this FAQ:
How come the
Judge doesn't give a pick every day?
The Judge is a professional handicapper. He
makes his living betting horses. In exchange for some free
horse hats, and us paying for his breakfast as often as he will
let us, he gives us what he feels like is a safe play. For
the vast majority of us, betting on horses is a hobby or an occasional
source of entertainment. For the Judge and others like him
its a full time job. For most of us, a day at the races means
making a bet on every race run. The Judge has the rare ability
to go to the track and perhaps make one bet for the whole day. Win
or lose he is done after the race he came to bet is over. He
will watch the rest of the races with great interest and use that
information in the future, but as he has often said "Only a fool
or a lucky man bets every race on the card. I ain't either
kind." Any good handicapper will tell you that the most
important skill to have is the ability to manage your money. The
Judge bets only when he feels he has a winner. He never chases
his losses making desperate bets, when a horse he bets catches
a bad break and doesn't win he can forget it and move on. When
he wins, he takes the money and runs.
How to manage
your money when betting on horses
Ever
since we started providing free picks from "Judge" Fletcher
McCoy, we have received a steady stream of e-mails
asking us for more information about the man and his methods. As
you know, the Judge does not use or own a computer or e-mail,
so most of our conversations take place in person. We usually
meet for breakfast in Nicholasville, KY after the Judge has made
his morning rounds at Keeneland or Churchill. Coffee, biscuits
and gravy, and horse racing insight from the Judge is a pretty
good way to start the day. When he gives us a pick we try
to write down what he says word for word, and when he feels something
is important he will usually say "Make sure you get that
down like I said it." We'll post as much of his horse
racing knowledge as we can on this page and add to it as often
as he sees fit to provide it. The question we get asked
more than any other is the first one we will post in this FAQ:
How
come the Judge doesn't give a pick every day?
The Judge is a professional handicapper. He
makes his living betting horses. In exchange for some free
horse hats, and us paying for his breakfast as often as he will
let us, he gives us what he feels like is a safe play. For
the vast majority of us, betting on horses is a hobby or an occasional
source of entertainment. For the Judge and others like him
its a full time job. For most of us, a day at the races means
making a bet on every race run. The Judge has the rare ability
to go to the track and perhaps make one bet for the whole day. Win
or lose he is done after the race he came to bet is over. He
will watch the rest of the races with great interest and use that
information in the future, but as he has often said "Only
a fool or a lucky man bets every race on the card. I ain't
either kind." Any good handicapper will tell you that
the most important skill to have is the ability to manage your
money. The Judge bets only when he feels he has a winner. He
never chases his losses making desperate bets, when a horse he
bets catches a bad break and doesn't win he can forget it and move
on. When he wins, he takes the money and runs.
How
to manage your money when betting on horses
Ever
since we started providing free picks from "Judge" Fletcher
McCoy, we have received a steady stream of e-mails
asking us for more information about the man and his methods. As
you know, the Judge does not use or own a computer or e-mail, so
most of our conversations take place in person. We usually
meet for breakfast in Nicholasville, KY after the Judge has made
his morning rounds at Keeneland or Churchill. Coffee, biscuits
and gravy, and horse racing insight from the Judge is a pretty
good way to start the day. When he gives us a pick we try
to write down what he says word for word, and when he feels something
is important he will usually say "Make sure you get that down
like I said it." We'll post as much of his horse racing
knowledge as we can on this page and add to it as often as he sees
fit to provide it. The question we get asked more than any
other is the first one we will post in this FAQ:
How
come the Judge doesn't give a pick every day?
The Judge is a professional handicapper. He
makes his living betting horses. In exchange for some free
horse hats, and us paying for his breakfast as often as he will
let us, he gives us what he feels like is a safe play. For
the vast majority of us, betting on horses is a hobby or an occasional
source of entertainment. For the Judge and others like him
its a full time job. For most of us, a day at the races means
making a bet on every race run. The Judge has the rare ability
to go to the track and perhaps make one bet for the whole day. Win
or lose he is done after the race he came to bet is over. He
will watch the rest of the races with great interest and use that
information in the future, but as he has often said "Only
a fool or a lucky man bets every race on the card. I ain't
either kind." Any good handicapper will tell you that
the most important skill to have is the ability to manage your
money. The Judge bets only when he feels he has a winner. He
never chases his losses making desperate bets, when a horse he
bets catches a bad break and doesn't win he can forget it and move
on. When he wins, he takes the money and runs.
How
to manage your money when betting on horses
Recently we met with the Judge after he gave out a big
winner on HorseHats.com. He told an entertaining story about a
man cashing a ticket right in front of him in line. They got to
talking and it turns out that the man bet the horse based on the
Judge's pick from Horsehats.com. The Judge introduced himself,
the fellow bought him a drink, and they ended up hanging out for
the next hour or so. This was during a simulcast session at Keeneland
and the man ended up betting back everything he had won and then
some. The Judge never made another bet on the day. He then gave
us his money management speech and it went something like this:
If 100 people hear what I am about to tell you, 5 of them will
be so damn dumb they won't understand it, 95 will listen and understand
everything I say, and only about 5 of those 95 who get it will
have the ability to actually follow the instructions. There are
only 3 things you need to know if you want to make money betting
horses:
1. Which horse to bet on
2. How to bet the horse.
3. How much to bet on the horse. This is the most important step.
Picking the horse to bet on, or handicapping, is where people
spend all of their time. I'm a good handicapper - not a great one
- I can give you the names of 10 people who can out handicap me,
but 5 of them live in their cars and the other 5 wish they had
a car to live in. They don't know how to bet the horses they pick
and they damn sure don't know how much to bet on them. They can
pick five winners in a row and still leave the track broke. They
hit one race, take all the money they won and plow it into the
next race, and so on until they have given it all back and can't
figure out what happened to them. That's fine if you go to the
races a few times a year and are looking to have a good time, but
if you want to make a living at it you just can't operate that
way.
What you need
to do is bet from a "bankroll" that is
used only for betting on horses. It has to be separate from your
living expenses and you have to be honest with yourself about how
much it should be. Your bankroll should be about 100 times as large
as your standard bet. For example, if you are only comfortable
making $2 bets, then you bankroll needs to be about $200. You have
to be able to weather a long losing streak and still have the security
of knowing your bankroll is going to hold up. You also need to
maintain and grow the bankroll. I have a formula that I use to
add back into the roll and grow it. If you've lost 20 bets in a
row and finally score on a 10:1 shot, how much of that do you put
back into the bankroll and how much do you spend on your girlfriend?
Well, that depends entirely on how good looking she is.
Your bankroll will disappear faster than free beer at a frat party
if you don't stick to your standard bet rules. I have a standard
bet amount and will only go up to 3X that amount, and I only do
that a few times a year. When you hit a big one it's easy to think
that you should have bet more, but every time you get beat a nose
you'll be wishing you bet less. If you walk into the track planning
to bet on 3 races, and you hit the first 2 - don't get tempted
to increase your bet on the last race. Stick with the plan and
walk out a winner.
How to bet
is the other key to the formula. I might be "Old
School", but I still like to put most of my money on the nose.
It's easy to get sidetracked putting together a gizmo and chasing
the big money in a trifecta, but in my experience you are better
off putting the biggest part of your money in the win pool. The
bottom line is that if you don't like a horse enough to bet him
to win you should pass on the race. A lot of folks think that betting
an even money horse is a waste of time, so they try to construct
a scenario using that horse with some longshots in gizmos, only
to have the even money horse win and the longshots run out. Even
money is even money and doubling your money ain't nothing to be
ashamed of.
To sum it up - be picky about what you bet on, bet the same amount
each race, and stay away from the gizmos.
|